Inflation or Deflation? That’s the Question.

Stocks have made new highs both domestically and in Europe .  With QE set to begin in Europe, will this trend continue?  Will European markets outperform US stocks in 2015?

There are a few signs of caution.  First, on balance volume has been declining steadily from the previous all-time highs in stocks.  This divergence in volume vs. stock prices is not a good sign if it continues.

Next, the Dow Transportation average has not confirmed the new highs in stocks.  Typically, the Transports are a leading indicator for stocks.  Right now it is lagging the stock market and has yet to make a new high.

Finally, what are bonds telling us.  After putting in a wave 5 high, we have seen bond prices correct back to the wave 4 DP support.  Bonds then took out that support and continued lower.  This break of the wave 4 support may be an early sign that this market is anticipating inflation down the road rather than deflation.

We’ll have to wait and see how this plays out.  As always, if you are going to place any bets, keep your risk small and controlled in exchange for a potential larger reward.

 

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MTPredictor runner up 2011 Readers' Choice Award for best futures trading system.

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Read the MTPredictor article "95% of Traders are Insane!" in the August 2012 issue

How to Find Support and Resistance P. 2

This week, in the MTPredictor webinar, I continued with last weeks discussion on how to quickly find support and resistance for any market using the MTPredictor decision point tool.  These are leading indicators that you can have on your chart before price ever gets there.

Check it out in today’s MTPredictor trading webinar.

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New Highs. Now What?

The Dow and NQ finally corroborated the new high in the S&P last week although we have not yet seen a new high in the Dow Transportation Index so this will be something to monitor.  Also, our MTPredictor STF indicator have been making lower highs while the market has been making higher highs.  This divergence will be something to keep an eye on down the road.  Volume in the S&P has also been on the decline over the last few years.

The 30 year bond has broken the DP support off of the prior wave 4.  This may be the bond market telling us that we are in store for inflation and not deflation down the road.  Utility stocks have been selling off as well.  This is potentially also an indication that we are in for inflation rather than deflation down the road.  If this is the case, look for the financials to move towards new highs.  Again, things to keep an eye on.

Gold is testing the important 1200 level.  If this holds that gold and silver should make another run to the upside.  If it breaks 1200 then a test of the lows may be in the cards instead.

After rallying off its daily DP support, Oil reached its daily DP target and resistance level where it has begun to consolidate.  Watch for the break of this channel.  Strength on our STF indicator is to the upside which favors the long side.

Check out all the analysis in tonight’s MTPredictor Weekly Market Update.

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How to Find Support and Resistance

During today’s MTPredictor trading webinar, after covering the 4-step trading process, I went straight to the advanced trade setups which include identifying larger degree support and resistance very quickly using the MTPredictor decision point tool. This works for any market and time frame.

See how this works in today’s MTPredictor trading webinar.

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How to Use This 4-Step Process to Win

During today’s MTPredictor trading webinar, I covered the 4-step trading process that professional traders use to follow the golden rule of trading – cut your losses short and let your winners run.

You will see how the MTPredictor software will teach you to manage risk and look for larger rewards with its software generated setups and also by creating your own setups based on your own analysis using the tools in the software.

 

Check it out.

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